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Oil climbed to the highest level in almost five months after a government report showed U.S. crude production fell and Iraq said talks to freeze output will be revived.

Oil surged above $40 a barrel in New York for the first time since December as central banks from the United States to Norway signaled they will continue to provide economic stimulus to support demand.

Oil prices will average just over $40 a barrel this year due to subdued demand and the likelihood a tentative agreement by leading producers to freeze output will do little to drain a supply glut, a Reuters poll showed Feb. 29.

New infrastructure projects capable of withstanding severe weather events would be funded through a new tax on oil companies, according to the Obama White House’s fiscal 2017 budget request unveiled Feb. 9.

Oil prices will stay low for as long as 10 years as Chinese economic growth slows and the U.S. shale industry acts as a cap on any rally, according to the world’s largest independent oil-trading house.

President Barack Obama will propose a $10-per-barrel tax on oil in his fiscal 2017 budget to finance self-driving cars, public transit, railroads and other transportation improvements, the White House said.

Oil bulls distressed that last week’s rally fizzled can find some comfort in forecasts for a bigger and longer rebound by the end of the year.

Oil resumed its decline after U.S. industry data showed crude stockpiles increased, exacerbating a global glut.

Oil fell below $35 a barrel in New York for the first time since 2009 as Iran reiterated its pledge to boost crude exports, bolstering speculation OPEC members will exacerbate the global oversupply.

While 2015 will go down as the worst year for crude train disasters, it also is shaping up to be the year crude-by-rail hit the brakes.