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Former Treasury Secretary Urges US to Spend 1% of GDP Annually on Infrastructure
Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers called for a $2.5 trillion infrastructure investment program over 10 years to energize the American economy and help it exit from 鈥渟ecular stagnation.鈥
Speaking to a Sydney conference via live video Oct. 17, Summers cited one of his favorite examples in reiterating his call for new U.S. infrastructure. He got a large show of hands after asking how many in the Australian audience had been to New York鈥檚 Kennedy airport. He then asked how many thought the United States听should be 鈥渞eally proud鈥 of that airport as a gateway to America鈥檚 greatest city. The response: no hands, and a lot of laughter.
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鈥淚t is a no-brainer,鈥 Summers said. 鈥淏ecause of what it means for job creation and demand in the short run; because of what it means for economic capacity in the medium run; because of what the growth means for the financial health of the government.鈥 He highlighted historically low funding costs, "very low" materials costs and the employment needs of non- college-educated males in his call.
Asked what it would take to get out of secular stagnation, where trend economic growth rates have been reduced, Summers nominated 1% of gross domestic product a year for a decade as "a reasonable target to do something substantial with infrastructure investment鈥 that would have a meaningful impact.
He said he didn鈥檛 think it would be a problem for the country鈥檚 fiscal health, representing 鈥渁bout $2.5 trillion over 10 years.鈥
鈥淚nfrastructure investment as a share of GDP is lower than it鈥檚 been any time since 1947, and if you look at federal infrastructure investment, net of depreciation, net investment, it is rounded to the nearest integer: equal to zero,鈥 he said.
In a question-and-answer session with a moderator at the Citigroup Inc. investment conference, Summers鈥檚 comments included:
鈥 While government debt is high, its serviceability is 鈥渆xtraordinarily low,鈥 thanks to current interest-rate levels;
鈥 Substantial parts of Europe 鈥 particularly Germany 鈥 should join the United States听in investing in buildings, roads, bridges and the like;
鈥 The Trans Pacific Partnership trade deal still could be passed;
鈥 The Federal Reserve should avoid raising interest rates.
On the U.S. presidential election, Summers said it now looked highly unlikely that Donald Trump would win, and criticized the Republican鈥檚 platform.
鈥淚 had never supposed that populism personified by Juan Peron in Argentina or many other Latin American leaders would be successfully exported from Latin America to the United States,鈥 said Summers, who served with Trump鈥檚 opponent, Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton, in the Obama administration. 鈥淎nd I think it鈥檚 very dangerous.鈥
On听TPP, Summers said President Obama 鈥渋s very determined, and it is a mistake I think to count him out given he鈥檚 been successful at accomplishing things like universal health care that many people thought were impossible.鈥
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