Will Rise of EVs Mean the Death of the Gas Station?
Bay Area News Group
[Stay on top of transportation news: .]
For more than a century, gas stations have been the heart of California鈥檚 car culture, offering fuel, food and friendly directions along back roads and byways.
But the rush to EVs may leave them in the dust.
Quintessential small businesses that are often owned by immigrants, as many as 80% of stations could be unprofitable by 2035, when the state stops all new gas car sales. Already, fewer cars are gas-guzzlers, reducing demand for fuel. A growing number of cities are banning new station construction.
鈥淚t鈥檚 going to make this industry extinct,鈥 predicted Sanjiv Patel of the Milpitas-based American Petroleum and Convenience Store Association, which represents some of the state鈥檚 250,000 station owners and employees.
鈥淗ere in the Bay Area, we are ground zero,鈥 with one of the nation鈥檚 highest concentrations of electric vehicles, he said. 鈥淭hings will start from here, and then spread.鈥
Gas stations are designed for quick in-and-out traffic: Pump, pay and go. Located on busy routes, they鈥檙e low cost, high-volume businesses.
Electric vehicles need something different. They take time to charge. And chargers can be located anywhere 鈥 home, work or a charming coffee shop. Think Starbucks, not Shell.
An electric car recharges. (EXTREME-PHOTOGRAPHER/Getty Images)
To survive, gas stations are testing more sustainable sources of revenue, adding car washes and expanding their store offerings. Increasingly, they sell not just coffee and cigarettes but also fresh sandwiches, organic juices, Korean tteokbokki or Punjabi tandoori chicken.
The other obvious move 鈥 add EV charging 鈥 is not as simple as it looks, said Chris Bambury of the California Fuels & Convenience Alliance, the Sacramento-based trade association for independent gas marketers.
It requires a redesign of a station site. It demands much more power than traditionally needed by a service station. And owners aren鈥檛 sure how much to charge consumers, because electric rates fluctuate.
Unless charging gets faster, it鈥檚 expensive and impractical, said station managers. At this point, stations are only adding chargers because they鈥檙e required by some cities and counties; there鈥檚 little consumer demand, they said. And while the state鈥檚 grant money helps reduce the installation cost, the chargers don鈥檛 support themselves.
鈥淭he charging stations are a loss leader, not a revenue generator,鈥 said Rotten Robbie CEO Erin Graziosi, who has placed two chargers at a San Jose station that cost $180,000 and sit unused much of the day. 鈥淧eople don鈥檛 have the same fueling habit as with liquid fuels.鈥
Rotten Robbie cashier Kenny Young works inside the convenience store in San Jose.听(Dai Sugano/Bay Area News Group via Tribune Content Agency)
Even before EVs, the nation鈥檚 gas station industry had been consolidating, with about half as many outlets now as in the 1980s, according to Jeff Lenard of the trade association Advancing Convenience & Fuel Retailing.
Gas retailers are exiting because of low margins on fuel sales and fierce price competition from big box stores like Walmart and Costco, he said.
Stations once supplemented their income with car maintenance and towing services. But auto dealers are aggressively marketing long-term care contracts, pushing gas stations out of that business, said Bambury. And few stations are still in the towing business, due to soaring insurance costs.
Bambury
There鈥檚 also less demand for grease monkeys. 鈥淐ars don鈥檛 need as many repairs,鈥 said Bambury, who operates the same Bonneau鈥檚 Schellville 76 on Sonoma鈥檚 Arnold Drive that his great grandfather founded in 1923.
Californians鈥 move to EVs, which need neither fuel nor oil changes, will help prevent a disastrous heating of the planet 鈥 and accelerate the decline of the gas station.
In 2019, 6.8% of the state鈥檚 new car sales were zero-emission or plug-in hybrids. That鈥檚 expected to jump to 35% in 2026 and 100% by 2035, as required by the state鈥檚 Advanced Clean Cars II rule.
An analysis by Boston Consulting Group concluded that between 25% and 80% of the fuel retail market could be unprofitable in the next 15 years. This means that thousands of stations would go out of business.
Fueling habits have always changed with the times. Before service stations, motorists bought five-gallon cans of gas at a general store or livery stable, just like they bought kerosene for their lamps. It was messy, smelly and dangerous.
With the growth of the highway system, drivers wanted a convenient fill-up wherever they went 鈥 and by 1935, America鈥檚 landscape was dotted with 200,000 stations.
These early stations offered fuel but also free air, water and the nation鈥檚 first commercial road maps. An attendant, in overalls and a cap, washed your windshield.
Gas prices in California 'are retesting their 2022 highs,' pushing up national average by 鈥 Yahoo Finance (@YahooFinance)
Growing up alongside America, they became destinations. In one stop, you could wash your windshield, stretch your legs, buy cigarettes or eat a snack. In the 1957 classic On The Road, Jack Kerouac described sleeping under a tree in front of a gas station for 鈥渢wo delicious hours,鈥 then cooling down with a 鈥渞ich, thick, milkshake.鈥
In more recent years, gas stations have served as a financial springboard for newcomers, especially people from India. An estimated 61% of all gas station owners are immigrants, according to the Fiscal Policy Institute. Success hasn鈥檛 required a big investment, strong English proficiency or a fancy college degree. With about $500,000 in loans 鈥 $100,000 from friends and family and the rest from the Small Business Administration 鈥 it was possible to build a life in the Bay Area, said Patel.
鈥淔irst-generation immigrants have this enormous drive to control their own destiny鈥 by owning a business, said Patel, a tech engineer who got his start with a small station in Berkeley. 鈥淎s long as you are willing to work hard, roll up your sleeves, get your hands dirty and put the time needed, there鈥檚 a good chance you will succeed. Off you go. It鈥檚 the American dream.鈥
To be sure, many cars will continue to need gas. The transition to EVs will take time. But the route forward is cloudy, and banks may be increasingly reluctant to lend to businesses with an uncertain future.
What will happen to the people working in this industry? It鈥檚 their livelihood. It鈥檚 their retirement. It鈥檚 their savings. It鈥檚 their everything.
Sanjiv Patel of the American Petroleum and Convenience Store Association
![]()
The most vulnerable stations are those in affluent urban neighborhoods such as the Interstate 280 corridor, where people charge EVs at home and shop at Safeway, not a gas station鈥檚 convenience store, say experts. Stations in rural or lower income communities, where there are more gas-powered cars and fewer grocery stores, are more secure. So are stations along long-distance routes, such as the Central Valley鈥檚 Interstate 5.
But to survive in the long term, gas stations must revamp for the future 鈥 and try new strategies.
On San Jose鈥檚 Old Oakland Road, a major renovation by Graziosi has transformed an unsightly commercial fueling station into a popular site with modern pumps 鈥 including the two EV chargers 鈥 and a sparkling 3,800-square-foot convenience store. Located on a busy corner, the new store sells the usual Pennzoil and Peak antifreeze, but also salted caramel smoothies, six types of fresh coffee and 14 styles of sandwiches.
鈥淢erchandising has become much more of the focus鈥 of Rotten Robbie, a fourth-generation family business with 35 stations, said Graziosi, who is planning additional remodels. 鈥淧eople wanted more things to buy, so we needed more things to sell.鈥
Want more news? Listen to today's daily briefing above or go here for more info
In Sonoma County, where Petaluma, Santa Rosa and Cotati have banned any new or expanded gas stations, owners are trying a similar strategy, said Bambury. While selling fresh food means higher labor costs, 鈥渨e鈥檙e lucky enough that we can pivot to what the customer wants,鈥 he said.
Over time, many sites will be sold and stations will become more rare, predicted Patel. Service station sites are hot commodities for developers, especially in cities, on flat land and in central, high-traffic locations. While they may require cleanup, they rarely trigger fights over preservation, displacement or the other issues common with new buildings.
鈥淲e鈥檙e not living in 鈥楲a La Land,鈥 believing that crude is going to be there forever,鈥 said Patel. 鈥淏ut I wish I had a crystal ball.鈥
鈥淲hat will happen to the people working in this industry?鈥 he asked. 鈥淚t鈥檚 their livelihood. It鈥檚 their retirement. It鈥檚 their savings. It鈥檚 their everything.鈥
Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC
听
