China Turning to Natural Gas as Means of Reducing Greenhouse-Gas Emissions

Powering vehicles with natural gas, a cleaner alternative to diesel fuel and gasoline, is catching on faster in China than in any other nation as President Xi Jinping seeks to reduce smog.

About 3.8 million cars, trucks and buses in China, the world鈥檚 biggest energy consumer and emitter of greenhouse gases, will be filling up with compressed or liquefied natural gas by 2020, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance. That鈥檚 almost double the current number, making Asia鈥檚 largest economy the fastest-growing market.

The emergence of natural gas as a motor fuel emitting 32% less GHG than diesel is buttressed by China鈥檚 network of almost 4,900 refueling stations and a $400 billion gas import deal with Russia. The fuel also is about 30% cheaper than its diesel equivalent as LNG trades at a three-year low in Asia.

Chinese Premier Li Keqiang has promised to ban dirtier vehicles as smog in the capital, Beijing, increasingly exceeds World Health Organization limits and forces residents to don masks outdoors.

鈥淣atural-gas vehicles have significant growth potential in China because they鈥檙e more economical than conventional models and because the government is committed to fighting pollution,鈥 said Ricky Wang, an analyst at ICIS-C1 Energy, a Shanghai-based commodity consultant. 鈥淕as demand from the transport sector is booming.鈥



India, Pakistan and Iran are among other fast-growing markets for natural gas-powered vehicles, said Tony Regan, founder of

Tri-Zen International Inc., a Singapore-based consultant with clients that include Royal Dutch Shell PLC and OAO Lukoil.

The United States, enjoying a rising supply of low-cost natural gas because of the boom in hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, was one of the first to use LNG as a truck fuel.

In China, leaders are starting to heed demands for cleaner air in the nation, which the World Bank estimates has 16 of the planet鈥檚 20 most-polluted cities.

China now is the largest and fastest-growing market for LNG used in trucking, Regan said. By 2015, 220,000 heavy trucks and 40,000 buses in China are expected to run on LNG, he said.

鈥淲hile natural gas has been used as a fuel for vehicles since the 1930s, this was mainly for cars and taxis,鈥 Regan said. 鈥淐NG was the first way to use gas as a motor fuel, but there is growing awareness of how much cheaper LNG is than diesel and how suitable that is to fuel trucks, trains and buses.鈥

Even so, China鈥檚 ability to switch drivers to natural gas will be constrained. The country is far behind the United States in using fracking to expand domestic production of gas. In the United States, the technology has unlocked natural gas trapped in formations such as the Marcellus shale. China鈥檚 electricity makers also are competing for gas

to replace coal, meaning the nation will face a long-term shortage, according to Charlie Cao, a Beijing-based analyst at New Energy Finance.

鈥淭he lack of fueling infrastructure has been the single largest constraint to the natural gas vehicle market,鈥 Cao said. 鈥淒rivers have to compete for already limited gas supplies, especially in the peak heating season, when the tight gas flows are prioritized for residential use.鈥

Compressed natural gas, or CNG, dominates China鈥檚 market and accounts for 97% of vehicles running on natural gas, Cao said.

听LNG has a smaller share in transportation because of higher costs for liquefaction and a shortage of infrastructure for deliveries.

Still, transportation is forecast to surpass manufacturing as China鈥檚 biggest downstream consumer of LNG by 2016, said Gordon Kwan, the regional head of oil and gas research at Nomura Holdings Inc. in Hong Kong.

China鈥檚 LNG-powered fleet will more than double to 180,000 vehicles and use 5.3 million metric tons for a 40% share of LNG consumption by 2016, Kwan said.

鈥淣atural-gas vehicles are more economically attractive and technically mature than other new-energy vehicles,鈥 Cao said. 鈥淓lectric or hybrid vehicles, for example, still require government subsidies to compete with the gasoline and diesel-fueled passenger vehicles. Building the gas fueling stations is also less capital-intensive than the charging networks.鈥

While China is struggling to keep up with demand, it had 51% more natural-gas refueling stations at the end of 2013 than the year before, Wang said. She expects about 6,000 natural-gas pumps at the end of 2014, up 24% from last year.

China National Offshore Oil Corp., the nation鈥檚 biggest operator of LNG receiving terminals, plans to triple its filling stations supplying the fuel to 400 this year. China will have more than 12,000 such stations by 2020, with China National Offshore Oil taking 20% of market share, it said.

Shaanxi Automobile Group, western China鈥檚 largest truck maker, and Dongfeng Yangste Motor Co., the region鈥檚 biggest bus manufacturer, are among those producing natural-gas vehicles that are outwardly indistinguishable from conventional models.

China signed a 30-year deal in May to import natural gas from Russia through a new pipeline. The agreement with OAO Gazprom, Russia鈥檚 pipeline-gas monopoly, is forecast to provide 38 billion cubic meters of gas annually, according to Alexey Miller, Gazprom鈥檚 CEO. China is set to increase imports via Turkmenistan as well.

LNG costs 30% less than China III-standard diesel as of May this year, according to ICIS-C1 Energy.

LNG in northeast Asia dropped in the week ended June 30 to $11.25 per million British thermal units, the lowest price since March 2011, New York-based Energy Intelligence Group said on its World Gas Intelligence website.

Switching from diesel to natural gas for trucks and buses can pay for itself after 12 to 15 months, and it saves 686,000 yuan over a lifetime of 10 years, Cao said.

鈥淭he growth of gas in the transportation sector is expected to be significantly faster for the foreseeable future,鈥 said Thomas Chhoa, Shell鈥檚 Singapore-based general manager for Global LNG to transport. 鈥淣atural gas for mobility is widely available, cleaner burning than other conventional transportation fuels, cost competitive and technically ready,鈥 he said.